Crookham has some injury risk. No question about it and I don't think that's necessarily a secret. That makes the potential performance floor a little lower than expected. However, there isn't a single guy in the portal at 133 that has a higher ceiling than he does. He has a 40-45% bonus point rate for his career. He also has the talent to place top 4 at NCAA's. Hell, 1/4 of the Vito Arujau's career college losses are to Crookham. He was ranked #1 at the start of the 2025 season and #2 at the start of the 2026 season.
There were only two other guys in the portal that had been on the podium previously (Fugitt and Knox) and only another 2-3 that have any kind of predictable AA potential (Rin Sakamoto, Brett Ungar, and maybe Nicolar Rivera). Those three would need to get hot and get a little lucky...which is basically what happened for Fugitt in 2025. Fugitt caught Bailey with a reattack go behind in SV in the second round and a slide-by-attempted-turned-feet-to-back-throw against McGonagle in the quarters. Honestly, Fugit is more likely to repeat what he did in 2026 than to repeat what happened in 2025 even though he's been an AA previously.
Knox is a known commodity, and I think he will AA again, but I don't think he makes top 4. I just don't think he's there. His floor is much, much higher than Crookham's just because the lack of injury risk, but he's a guy that's going to place 5-8. He takes more losses than Crookham and doesn't bonus as often.
It's a risk-reward thing.