The current USA Magazine article on NCAA bracketology is an eye opener, specially for the #1 ranked Tar Heels. The data provided looks exclusively at the current objective RPI and SOS numerical data. UNC has the #8 RPI and its SOS is #27. As a result, the article suggests that the Heels would not be the #1 seed If the season ended today.
Of course, we’re only in the midseason, and the meat of the conference schedules has yet to be played. Currently North Carolina has only 1 win against a team with a top-20 RPI (Syracuse). Clemson’s RPI is #27 and Boston College’s is #40.
UNC games vs. Northwestern today (RPI #13) and Stanford Apr 10 (RPI #1) will have a dramatic impact if UNC wins them both. And of course, there’s the ACC tournament. Currently, the analysis has Stanford as the ACC automatic qualifier based solely on the objective numerical data.
It’s really much ado about nothing at this juncture. There’s no point is mustering righteous indignation. If UNC takes care of business, the bracketology will take care of itself. But I have to say that the article has some surprising suggestions.
Here’s the article:
Will this year’s bubble be among the weakest we’ve seen?
www.usalacrosse.com
(I should have smelled a rat when the accompanying photo was of a Duke player.)