over/under 7.5 wins in 2026

DukeSlater

All-Conference
Jul 2, 2023
1,753
3,988
113
isn't that KF's average for the last 10 years


I've never figured out how you win--or lose--half a game. And I've also never figured out how a team can be projected to win a game by, for example, 3.5 points. I've never seen a team finish a season with either half a win or half a loss, and I've never seen a game in any sport where any team has scored half a point or half a run or half an anything. So if any BIG team ends the 2026 football season with half a win, I'll be surprised. :unsure:
 

52317Hawk

All-Conference
Jul 3, 2025
947
1,109
93
I've never figured out how you win--or lose--half a game. And I've also never figured out how a team can be projected to win a game by, for example, 3.5 points. I've never seen a team finish a season with either half a win or half a loss, and I've never seen a game in any sport where any team has scored half a point or half a run or half an anything. So if any BIG team ends the 2026 football season with half a win, I'll be surprised. :unsure:
 

AnonymousNolonger

All-Conference
Jul 4, 2025
897
1,701
93
Looks like his 10 yr average is 8.6.

Thats leaving out 2015, his best season record 12-2 and including covid year 6-2 where we only played 6 games and Michigan ducked us our final game and we would've obliterated them that year.
You can’t include the Covid year if you are looking for an accurate 10 year average.

Throw that 8 game season out and go back one more year would be the fairest way to do it.
 

ItsinourTNA

All-Conference
May 24, 2021
287
1,071
93
You can’t include the Covid year if you are looking for an accurate 10 year average.

Throw that 8 game season out and go back one more year would be the fairest way to do it.
Sure thing,

My takeaway is that Ferentz has been better than 7.5. Looking at the 2026 schedule, I think Iowa should be favored to go 9-3.
 
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uihawk82

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2021
2,240
3,330
113
I've never figured out how you win--or lose--half a game. And I've also never figured out how a team can be projected to win a game by, for example, 3.5 points. I've never seen a team finish a season with either half a win or half a loss, and I've never seen a game in any sport where any team has scored half a point or half a run or half an anything. So if any BIG team ends the 2026 football season with half a win, I'll be surprised. :unsure:
The half game is for betting, you didnt know that
 

eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
1,835
2,108
113
Looks like his 10 yr average is 8.6.

Thats leaving out 2015, his best season record 12-2 and including covid year 6-2 where we only played 8 games and Michigan ducked us our final game and we would've obliterated them that year.

You can’t include the Covid year if you are looking for an accurate 10 year average.

Throw that 8 game season out and go back one more year would be the fairest way to do it.
The season total line is for regular season games only
 
Feb 25, 2008
30,545
28,432
113
If I was a degenerate gambler like you all, I'd take the over.
If you were a degenerate gambler, you'd throw money away on the Under, so that if Iowa does in fact suck this year (because of all the players we lost particularly on the OL and because Kirk is usually dog sh** at quick-fixing an OL), at least you'll get money for having to watch that trash.

And if they go Over, then you can be happy they exceeded expectations! 😃
 

uihawk82

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2021
2,240
3,330
113
isn't that KF's average for the last 10 years


I am taking the over with 8 or 9 wins. We are replacing a lot of great players and a couple who transferred. Kirk is a system coach and I think we will have a very good defense in the end. But big ? at QB, OLine will need to prove it again, WRs may be better, and running backs and TEnds are great. But RBacks with an avg OLine wont do it.

New LBkrs, lots of new defensive players but Phil is an awesome coach with a great plan. We have one really good corner and a couple with some experience, and very good athletes so I think we can get to
3-0. And then need to steal a big win in there and not drop a game we should win. QB is the wild card
 

uihawk82

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2021
2,240
3,330
113
Looks like his 10 yr average is 8.6.

Thats leaving out 2015, his best season record 12-2 and including covid year 6-2 where we only played 8 games and Michigan ducked us our final game and we would've obliterated them that year.
Well, throw in 2015 and then the average is very close to 9 wins which is 75% and that is exactly what the covid year was, 75%. So the trend is 8-10 wins and right now I would say the OSU game is the only one we will be a fairly big underdog. Every other game is winnable. We get Mich early under their new coach and system. Wash I thought would be hard and it will be but I think their fast, scat back QB left them. At Illinois might be tough if Bert can reload
 
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eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
1,835
2,108
113
I am taking the over with 8 or 9 wins. We are replacing a lot of great players and a couple who transferred. Kirk is a system coach and I think we will have a very good defense in the end. But big ? at QB, OLine will need to prove it again, WRs may be better, and running backs and TEnds are great. But RBacks with an avg OLine wont do it.

New LBkrs, lots of new defensive players but Phil is an awesome coach with a great plan. We have one really good corner and a couple with some experience, and very good athletes so I think we can get to
3-0. And then need to steal a big win in there and not drop a game we should win. QB is the wild card
Only 8 wins is necessary to cash the bet. So when you say you're, "taking the over", I assume that doesn't mean you're betting it
 

eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
1,835
2,108
113
Well, throw in 2015 and then the average is very close to 9 wins which is 75% and that is exactly what the covid year was, 75%. So the trend is 8-10 wins and right now I would say the OSU game is the only one we will be a fairly big underdog. Every other game is winnable. We get Mich early under their new coach and system. Wash I thought would be hard and it will be but I think their fast, scat back QB left them. At Illinois might be tough if Bert can reload
Again, only regular season games count towards a season total bet
 

AnonymousNolonger

All-Conference
Jul 4, 2025
897
1,701
93
Again, only regular season games count towards a season total bet
Then Iowa has averaged 8.7 wins over the last 10 years, removing the shortened COVID Year and adding 2015.

If the opinion is that adding 2015 is unfair, then a 9 year average, without the COVID year or 2015 is 7.5 wins.

The most recent 5 year average is 8.6

I would be taking the over if I was making this bet.
 
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eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
1,835
2,108
113
Then Iowa has averaged 8.7 wins over the last 10 years, removing the shortened COVID Year and adding 2015.

If the opinion is that adding 2015 is unfair, then a 9 year average, without the COVID year or 2015 is 7.5 wins.

The most recent 5 year average is 8.6

I would be taking the over if I was making this bet.
Absolutely.

The equalizer is the -148 juice.

If you're looking to bet over, sooner the better, as this could easily rise to -160.

By rule, I don't bet season total overs in any sport, because some injuries are just too significant.

But I'm considering breaking my rule. Pretty sure even with potential injury factored in, there is an edge at -148
 

Palmerhawk

All-Conference
Jul 3, 2025
1,617
3,108
113
Well, throw in 2015 and then the average is very close to 9 wins which is 75% and that is exactly what the covid year was, 75%. So the trend is 8-10 wins and right now I would say the OSU game is the only one we will be a fairly big underdog. Every other game is winnable. We get Mich early under their new coach and system. Wash I thought would be hard and it will be but I think their fast, scat back QB left them. At Illinois might be tough if Bert can reload
Washington QB demond Williams is returning and will be a possible Heisman candidate.
Our season will probably hinge on getting 1 win in that three game stretch of at mich,OSU ,at wash. I like our chances in most other games cept illini...8-4 is my pick.
 

uihawk82

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2021
2,240
3,330
113
Only 8 wins is necessary to cash the bet. So when you say you're, "taking the over", I assume that doesn't mean you're betting it
I am not betting on it, I dont bet on sports especially prop bets or whatever the hell they are called. I enjoy sports for sports, playing them or watching the best of the best

I played poker a long time ago and always like that but it was nickle dime quarter. I would play skins etc at golf a long time ago just for fun.

I feel bad for so many that are addicted to it and have literally lost their shirts
 

eyesofhawk

All-Conference
Apr 17, 2011
1,835
2,108
113
I am not betting on it, I dont bet on sports especially prop bets or whatever the hell they are called. I enjoy sports for sports, playing them or watching the best of the best

I played poker a long time ago and always like that but it was nickle dime quarter. I would play skins etc at golf a long time ago just for fun.

I feel bad for so many that are addicted to it and have literally lost their shirts
Yeah you would definitely have to play skins to make golf fun
 

uihawk82

All-Conference
Nov 17, 2021
2,240
3,330
113
Yeah you would definitely have to play skins to make golf fun
I am sure you love your tiddly winks and marbles. But there is something of a nice feeling to blast a drive 250 yards rigth where you aimed, throw and iron shot to within 10 feet, and sink the putt for birdie.

It feels good and takes a lot of strength and practice