OT: Spring Warmth, 3/5-3/12+? Winter 2025-26 - Patterns and Potential Winter Storms
- Thread starter RU848789
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80 here. Also hit 80 plus 2016 and 2011
Reminding me of my time at RU where had days in 80s and everyone was laying outside the BAMM dorms getting tans in March and weekend long outdoor Zeta Psi parties with live bands
Reminding me of my time at RU where had days in 80s and everyone was laying outside the BAMM dorms getting tans in March and weekend long outdoor Zeta Psi parties with live bands
Winter is over save for a 2 day coldspell on March 17 and 18 where temps will hold in the mid to upper 30s. No snow on long range and cold air gone in long range as we go zonal with no blocking.
Expect gradual warm up in 40s at end of week to some 50s to start the following week. Hints on long range of big warmup across the country the last week of March but still unsure how much of that reaches us
Expect gradual warm up in 40s at end of week to some 50s to start the following week. Hints on long range of big warmup across the country the last week of March but still unsure how much of that reaches us
What happened to the St. Patrick's Weenie Storm?
Along with the embarrassing Tomer Burg for both his first name and recent forecast!
Going to go from spring/summer back to winter over the next 24 hours. That's March.
After our 4-day heatwave with records set all over the place and Central Park hitting 80F yesterday, the earliest that has ever happened, that's all about to end with showers and t-storms tonight and some could be severe especially towards Philly as severe t-storm watches (counties in mauve) are up for this evening along/S of 276/195 in PA/NJ. This will be followed by crashing temps overnight behind the strong cold front with temps into the mid to upper 30s by tomorrow afternoon, which will likely lead to snow showers or even extended periods of moderate snow that could leave a slushy accumulation of an inch or so on grassy/colder surfaces (but not roads, with temps in the mid-30s).
The NWS remains unimpressed (can't blame them), mentioning a change to snow showers, but not predicting any accumulation worth noting (<1/2" for areas at elevation in NWNJ/NEPA/Hudson Valley). However, several good models (GFS, Euro-AIFS, Euro, NAM, HRRR) are showing 1-2" worth of snow accumulating at 10:1 ratios, which is very likely way overdone, which is why I think the NWS is rightly showing <1/2" for only NW areas and little to no snow everywhere else tomorrow. If, somehow, colder air can work in, then maybe everyone could see up to 1" of snow on colder surfaces by tomorrow late afternoon/early evening. Personally, I'll just be happy to see falling snow even if it doesn't accumulate much or at all.
Looking ahead, after a fairly mild period from Saturday through Monday with highs in the 50s, generally, a significant rain storm is likely to move through the area on Monday (with 1"+ of rain), followed by a strong cold front Monday night, which could lead to some snow that night into Tuesday, 3/17, if the cold air can arrive before the precip shuts off, especially for areas NW of 95, but as of now, models aren't supporting significant snowfall for this time period, as some were several days ago. It looks to be cold for a few days after that, followed by moderating temps. And no big snowstorms are showing up in the long range models beyond then and we're getting close to the point where it's no longer realistic to expect any more snow.
I did greatly enjoy the warmth, though, as my wife and I got in day trips to Lambertville and the Shore the past few days and I got in some disc golf without being bundled up, and got in a full all day poker session at PARX yesterday. Retirement is not so bad.
https://www.weather.gov/phi
After our 4-day heatwave with records set all over the place and Central Park hitting 80F yesterday, the earliest that has ever happened, that's all about to end with showers and t-storms tonight and some could be severe especially towards Philly as severe t-storm watches (counties in mauve) are up for this evening along/S of 276/195 in PA/NJ. This will be followed by crashing temps overnight behind the strong cold front with temps into the mid to upper 30s by tomorrow afternoon, which will likely lead to snow showers or even extended periods of moderate snow that could leave a slushy accumulation of an inch or so on grassy/colder surfaces (but not roads, with temps in the mid-30s).
The NWS remains unimpressed (can't blame them), mentioning a change to snow showers, but not predicting any accumulation worth noting (<1/2" for areas at elevation in NWNJ/NEPA/Hudson Valley). However, several good models (GFS, Euro-AIFS, Euro, NAM, HRRR) are showing 1-2" worth of snow accumulating at 10:1 ratios, which is very likely way overdone, which is why I think the NWS is rightly showing <1/2" for only NW areas and little to no snow everywhere else tomorrow. If, somehow, colder air can work in, then maybe everyone could see up to 1" of snow on colder surfaces by tomorrow late afternoon/early evening. Personally, I'll just be happy to see falling snow even if it doesn't accumulate much or at all.
Looking ahead, after a fairly mild period from Saturday through Monday with highs in the 50s, generally, a significant rain storm is likely to move through the area on Monday (with 1"+ of rain), followed by a strong cold front Monday night, which could lead to some snow that night into Tuesday, 3/17, if the cold air can arrive before the precip shuts off, especially for areas NW of 95, but as of now, models aren't supporting significant snowfall for this time period, as some were several days ago. It looks to be cold for a few days after that, followed by moderating temps. And no big snowstorms are showing up in the long range models beyond then and we're getting close to the point where it's no longer realistic to expect any more snow.
I did greatly enjoy the warmth, though, as my wife and I got in day trips to Lambertville and the Shore the past few days and I got in some disc golf without being bundled up, and got in a full all day poker session at PARX yesterday. Retirement is not so bad.
https://www.weather.gov/phi
Why would anyone be happy to sell falling snow after back to back days of 80 degree temperatures?
We have snowflakes here in Metuchen at 37F. Doubt we get more than a coating on grassy surfaces, but they did get 1-2" just NW of DC-Balt (where they were also in the 80s the past few days) where they had more precip/snow than we expect. 1" isn't out of the question on colder surfaces in some places in our region that get a heavy band or two. Mood flakes for the vast majority.
It's going to hammer the upper Midwest on Sun/Mon with 1-2+ feet of snow in parts of MN/IA/WI/MI and with 6"+ in a much larger area. Storm ended up being a cutter, but still a monster storm nonetheless. We'll get heavy rain (1-1.5") Mon/Tues in the warm sector, although it could end as a bit of snow (<1" likely) in NW areas on Tuesday. That's what happens with storms 8+ days out.
We all still need the rain as most of the area is still under drought or close to it.
Not in East Brunswick.Lawn covered with light coating of snow but roads are clear.When is snow supposed to stop in East Brunswick area?
