OT: Spring Warmth, 3/5-3/12+? Winter 2025-26 - Patterns and Potential Winter Storms

RU848789 said:

NWS has one day at 40F (which is about average) and most of the rest in the mid/upper 30s (and Monday around 30F).

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RU848789 said:

Wrong again, the up to 1" forecast for the Philly-NJ-NYC area I post for (which includes EPA and some of SNJ/SENY) was actually quite good with most getting 1/2-1", although some did only get 0.2" or so, like me, which is going to happen as trying to be within only a a very narrow 1/2" range is impossible as that's only about 0.03" precip at 15:1 ratios.

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
126 PM EST Sat Feb 7 2026

...SNOWFALL REPORTS AS OF 1:15 PM ON 2/7/26...

...New Jersey...

...Burlington County...
Mount Laurel 0.7 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Moorestown 0.7 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Lake Pine 0.6 in 0650 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Medford Lakes 0.5 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Mount Holly WFO 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs
Evesham 4.2 S 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Willingboro Twp 1.3 ESE 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Westampton 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 COOP
Cinnaminson 0.3 in 1055 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Mansfield Twp 1.9 SW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Burlington 1.7 E 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Camden County...
Bellmawr 0.6 in 0702 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Barrington 0.8 NE 0.6 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Hunterdon County...
Holland Twp 2.6 NNE 0.9 in 0620 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Califon 0.6 NW 0.9 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Lebanon 2.8 N 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Clinton Twp. 4 N 0.5 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Frenchtown 0.5 N 0.4 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Lebanon 0.5 E 0.3 in 0645 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Mercer County...
Woodsville 0.6 in 0900 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Trenton Mercer Airport 0.6 in 0100 PM 02/07 ASOS
Pennington 1.7 SE 0.5 in 0630 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Ewing Twp. 0.5 in 0725 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
West Windsor Twp 2.6 N 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Hamilton Twp 2.6 NNE 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Princeton 2.3 E 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Middlesex County...
Sayreville 0.9 ENE 0.3 in 0645 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Monroe Twp 1.3 NW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
New Brunswick 3 SE 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COOP
North Brunswick Twp 1.5 W 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Woodbridge Twp. 1 NNE T in 0600 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Woodbridge 1 ESE T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
South River 0.3 WSW T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Monmouth County...
Upper Freehold Twp. 2.3 S 0.4 in 0830 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
0.7 SW Long Branch 0.2 in 0630 AM 02/07 COOP
Long Branch 0.5 W 0.2 in 0630 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Colts Neck Twp 2.4 NW 0.2 in 0900 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Neptune City 0.1 E T in 0645 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Marlboro T in 0800 AM 02/07 COOP

...Morris County...
Randolph Twp 2.2 SE 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Mine Hill Twp. 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Randolph 1.0 in 0720 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Denville Twp 1.5 ESE 0.7 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Mount Arlington 0.7 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Hopatcong 2.1 ENE 0.7 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Jefferson Twp 3.1 WSW 0.6 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Mendham 3.2 NNW 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Rockaway 2.5 N 0.5 in 0725 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Randolph Twp. 2 E 0.5 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Randolph Twp 2.1 ESE 0.5 in 0900 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Green Pond 0.4 in 0950 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Mendham 1.5 W 0.3 in 0845 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Kinnelon 1.4 SE 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Madison 0.8 WSW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Rockaway 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Chatham 0.6 NE 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Long Hill Twp 1.9 WSW T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Butler 0.5 NE T in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Ocean County...
3 N Ocean Gate 0.6 in 0709 AM 02/07 Public
Toms River Twp 3.1 SSE 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Berkeley Twp. 2.7 SSE 0.4 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Manchester Twp 5.6 NE 0.2 in 0630 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Surf City 0.3 S 0.2 in 0658 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Barnegat Light 0.6 N T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Stafford Twp. 2.8 NNW T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Stafford Twp. 2.1 NW T in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Somerset County...
Franklin Twp. 2.4 ENE 0.5 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bernards Twp. 0.3 in 0815 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bridgewater Twp 3.3 NW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Branchburg Twp 2.0 NE 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bridgewater 0.2 in 1000 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Manville 0.1 in 0600 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Franklin Twp 3.4 NNW 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bernards Twp 0.9 ENE T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Watchung 1.4 WNW T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Sussex County...
Sparta Twp 3.6 SSW 0.9 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Hardyston Twp 3.2 SE 0.7 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
4 WSW Wantage Twp 0.5 in 0200 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Sparta Twp 3.3 NW 0.5 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
1 WNW Vernon 0.2 in 0600 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Highland Lakes 1 SW 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COOP
Vernon Twp 2.7 SSE 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
2 NW Vernon 0.2 in 0815 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter

...Warren County...
2 SE Mt. Bethel 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Blairstown Twp 2.4 E 0.6 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Greenwich Twp 1.6 S 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Washington Twp. 1.8 SE 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Hackettstown 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
0.5 W Belvidere 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COOP
Washington Twp 2.4 ESE T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Bergen County...
Montvale 1.8 ESE 0.4 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Oakland 0.3 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Fair Lawn 0.1 in 0830 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Tenafly 0.1 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Essex County...
West Orange Twp 0.6 WNW 0.4 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Hudson County...
Harrison 0.1 in 0614 AM 02/07 CO-OP Observer

...Passaic County...
Little Falls 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Union County...
New Providence 0.2 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Newark Airport 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs
1 NW Fanwood T in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS


...Pennsylvania...

...Bucks County...
Fricks 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Souderton 1.4 ENE 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Perkasie 0.8 NE 0.1 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Newtown 1.6 S T in 0724 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Carbon County...
Hudsondale 1.5 in 0745 AM 02/07 Public
Lehighton 3.3 WSW 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Lehigh County...
Salisbury Twp 0.4 in 0830 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Lehigh Valley International 0.4 in 0100 PM 02/07 ASOS
Slatington 2.3 SE 0.2 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Schnecksville 1.7 ENE 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Monroe County...
Canadensis 1.8 in 0700 AM 02/07 COOP

...Montgomery County...
New Hanover Twp 1.1 in 0600 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Gilbertsville 1.0 in 0600 AM 02/07 Public
Pennsburg 2.4 SSW 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Collegeville 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Trappe 1.0 in 0800 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Glenside 1.1 NW 0.8 in 0645 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Fort Washington 0.8 NW 0.8 in 0900 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Wynnewood 0.4 E 0.4 in 0720 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Pennsburg 1.6 SSW 0.3 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
1 NE Pottstown 0.3 in 0817 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Willow Grove 0.6 SW 0.2 in 0600 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Willow Grove 0.9 ESE 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
North Wales 1.3 WSW 0.1 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Philadelphia County...
Rockledge SE 0.6 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Philadelphia 0.3 in 0900 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Philadelphia International A 0.3 in 0100 PM 02/07 ASOS

...New York...

...Nassau County...
Farmingdale 1.0 in 0930 AM 02/07 Public
1 N Syosset 0.8 in 0802 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Hicksville 1.4 SSE 0.6 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Herricks 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Syosset 0.5 in 0600 AM 02/07 COOP
Massapequa Park 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...New York (Manhattan) County...
Central Park 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs

...Orange County...
Port Jervis 0.8 in 0630 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Cornwall On Hudson 0.3 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Greenwood Lake 0.2 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Putnam County...
Cold Spring 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Nelsonville 0.3 S 1.0 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Queens County...
NYC/JFK 0.8 in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs
Little Neck 0.3 SE 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
NYC/La Guardia T in 0700 AM 02/07 Official NWS Obs

...Rockland County...
New Hempstead 0.6 SE 0.6 in 0915 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Stony Point 0.4 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

...Westchester County...
South Salem 1.4 in 0715 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Shrub Oak 1.0 in 0600 AM 02/07 COOP
Shrub Oak 1.0 in 0600 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Armonk 0.6 in 0800 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Peekskill 2.8 NNE 0.5 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

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RU848789 said:

You're confusing the location with the snowfall. For example "Franklin Twp 2.4 ENE 0.5" is a location of 2.4 miles ENE of Franklin Twp and a snowfall of 0.5". It has always been a terrible way of reporting snowfall and it confuses almost everyone. I've asked them to change it, as have others on the weather boards but to no avail.

...Somerset County...
Franklin Twp. 2.4 ENE 0.5 in 0730 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bridgewater Twp 3.3 NW 0.2 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS
Bridgewater 0.2 in 1000 AM 02/07 Trained Spotter
Franklin Twp 3.4 NNW 0.1 in 0700 AM 02/07 COCORAHS

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knightfan7 said:

This winter stinks.

We've been getting wind gusts 35-50mph all day at the coast.

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Kbe4 said:

I finally took the car out for a spin this afternoon. It felt like friggin Antarctica. I haven't felt that cold in a long time. The wind was awful. And the side streets were full of piles of dirty snow. I can't wait for it to melt away...whenever that may be. Reminded me of the old days living in an apartment in Newark where people would literally fight over a precious parking spot. Thank god for a driveway these days for me.
BTW, are they really projecting wind chills of -15 tonight ?
Winter sucks.
Also, 2025 was not a good year for me. But so far I'm not impressed with 2026.

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knightfan7 said:

This winter stinks.

We've been getting wind gusts 35-50mph all day at the coast.

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bac2therac said:

40 Tuesday
44 Wednesday
Upper 30s the rest of week/weekend
40s all the following week if long range is to believed

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Sweet Pea's Corner said:

Yes. Starting the 15 in the 40s and showing almost 50 on the 18th. Spring is in the air.

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Sweet Pea's Corner said:

Yes. Starting the 15 in the 40s and showing almost 50 on the 18th. Spring is in the air.

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RUPete90 said:

I know Stringer Bell says no one cares about a 40 degree day, but I’ll be “damn near barbecuing” when we hit that temperature next week.

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RU848789 said:

Next up is the threat for next Sunday/Monday. Models showing a potential winter storm, which could be anything from mostly rain to a mix to mostly snow to a miss to our south, which is not unusual 7-8 days out. However, unlike more recent storms and threats of storms (like the 2/1 event that got suppressed), we won't have a very cold airmass in place, making a mix or mostly/all rain more likely especially for 95 to the coast. Worth keeping an eye on.

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EddieWilsonLives said:

actually not worth keeping an eye on . possible snow, possible rain, possible nothing . that's everyday bro.

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Postman_1 said:

Lol that was a great scene.

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knightfan7 said:

This winter stinks.

We've been getting wind gusts 35-50mph all day at the coast.

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Knight Shift said:

Fire on Stockton Lake Blvd yesterday.

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knightfan7 said:

Didn't know. I guess with wind I didn't hear sirens.

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RU848789 said:

So saying the possible storm is more likely wet than white is "honking." I think maybe you don't know what that word means. Also, why would I be pissed off? This has been a great winter so far.

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RU848789 said:

So saying the possible storm is more likely wet than white is "honking." I think maybe you don't know what that word means. Also, why would I be pissed off? This has been a great winter so far.

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dconifer0 said:

No snow on our boardwalk trek to dinner on Saturday, but it may have been the most Arctic conditions I've ever walked around in, with the low temperature, snow everywhere, and high winds. I was glad to get back inside. This winter is brutal; I only remember one other that rivaled it...

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Knight Shift said:

It was one of the houses right on the lake, closer to Route 71. Think they made a good knock on it quickly, but in the cold, hard work pumping water and putting out fire.

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Kbe4 said:

Friends were visiting yesterday that come from a family of firefighters and they were talking about the difficulty of firefighting in weather like we are experiencing. I can't imagine ever having to deal with stuff like that. Much respect.

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RUPete90 said:

I know Stringer Bell says no one cares about a 40 degree day, but I’ll be “damn near barbecuing” when we hit that temperature next week.

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CollegeSenior said:

1994?

It was brutally cold in North Jersey. Snow fell on Christas Eve and my yard remained snow-covered every day up to April 1, the day we sold our house.

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RUPete90 said:

1994 was one of the worst I can remember for sure. We had a flash freeze in early January and a week of single digit highs I believe. Roads were a mess for days.

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