…6.5 underdog at Arkansas. Wow. This is really low in my opinion. Fanduel.
I was way off….UK opens as a…
- Thread starter Vek96
- Start date
Man, wish I was a bettor but personally still don’t think I could wager against the Cats. That’s not against anyone who does as that line looks like a no brainer.
Take Arkansas and give the points.
I am a bettor, but, unfortunately, I can’t bet against the Cats either.
Anything can happen in sports, but, I don’t see us keeping this close.
Arkansas will be up double digits n first half.
This one is trickier due to cal picker factor.
Arkansas will win bit will he let UK make it closer than should be at end?
This one is trickier due to cal picker factor.
Arkansas will win bit will he let UK make it closer than should be at end?
Imo just speaks to what i think will be the key: if Arkansas is hitting jumpers or not. If they are, itll be ugly. If not, itll be a grind out game that we'll probably still lose, but lose much closer.
We have lost to every competent team by double digits
It’s a terrible day when “oh we are 6.5 dogs against ark thought it would be worse
Arkansas has such good guard play this season that it won't matter. I don't think we match up very well with them.
I thought it would be +7.5, so I was close.
Thing is, Arkansas is clicking right now and Acuff is the main reason why.
The metrics that are used to create that line, are taking the data from the entire season, which makes sense, but if they used the data from just the last couple games, that point spread would be much higher.
Our guys are walking directly into a buzzsaw. This one's gonna sting.
Thing is, Arkansas is clicking right now and Acuff is the main reason why.
The metrics that are used to create that line, are taking the data from the entire season, which makes sense, but if they used the data from just the last couple games, that point spread would be much higher.
Our guys are walking directly into a buzzsaw. This one's gonna sting.
I wouldn’t bet on this game even if I had no rooting interest.
One thing this team is not is predictable.
UK is very capable of beating Ark. also capable of losing by 30.
And they seem up and down too.
Emotions played in their favor last year. Will it work against them this year? Will they take us lightly?
If this game was played on paper they beat us easy. Fortunately it’s not.
If a team is ever going to come out with their backs against a wall then this is it.
All the cliques, circle the wagons, win one for the Gipper, etc. We need them all.
One thing this team is not is predictable.
UK is very capable of beating Ark. also capable of losing by 30.
And they seem up and down too.
Emotions played in their favor last year. Will it work against them this year? Will they take us lightly?
If this game was played on paper they beat us easy. Fortunately it’s not.
If a team is ever going to come out with their backs against a wall then this is it.
All the cliques, circle the wagons, win one for the Gipper, etc. We need them all.
Now we all know Pope will have them ready to run through a brick wall…
Cats by 5 or Hogs by 30, I see either scenario.
Tricky ba**ards! They’re baiting Arky bettors to go big, so they can control the game to keep it comfortable, while UK still loses by ~6, so UK loses and the house still profits!
Depending on how the money comes in, there’s still a scenario or two that favors UK…
Im still taking UK by 3-4 in this one. IYKYK
Depending on how the money comes in, there’s still a scenario or two that favors UK…
Im still taking UK by 3-4 in this one. IYKYK
100% - that mystery about what the he** might happen is about the only thing that makes the games worth tuning in for at this point!
This is where you put your money on Arkansas. Win win
I bet against the Cats, but, only money line and I'm thrilled when I lose the bet.
Bet $100 to win $33. If we win, I'm thrilled. If we lose, I'm pissed but I get $33, lol!
Bet $100 to win $33. If we win, I'm thrilled. If we lose, I'm pissed but I get $33, lol!
Its up to -7.5 on Draftkings if you can find a bet for the 1st half at -3.5 for Arky that would be nearly a lock.
I like our front court over theirs by a lot. Stranger things have happened. Their pressure on our hand offs will make or break it. If Kentucky doesn’t turn it over, they will more than have a chance.
This thread reminds me of the old Bobby Knight comment about Dale Brown only it applies to Mark Pope. ‘ I was worried about possibly losing until I looked down the floor and saw Dale Brown. Then I knew we had a chance ‘.
Scuff and Thomas are going to be serious problem. Let’s pray for the best, but they could score 60 between them.
Asked this 3x and this is what it said(kenpom #s)
More likely to happen at Arkansas?
31st ranked defense(UK) stops 6th ranked Arkansas offense?
55th ranked defense(Ark) stops 50th ranked Kentucky offense?
Based on top-tier offensive efficiency, Arkansas stopping Kentucky's offense (Scenario 2) is generally more likely. While UK's defense (31st) is good, elite offenses (Ark, 6th) usually prevail at home, making Arkansas a strong favorite to hold Kentucky (50th offense) under their average scoring rate, leading to a projected Arkansas 78 - Kentucky 71 result.
Scenario 1: 31st Def (UK) stops 6th Off (Ark)
Based on the provided 2025-2026 KenPom ratings, it is more likely that Arkansas's 6th-ranked offense will overcome Kentucky's 31st-ranked defense at home, rather than Kentucky's 50th-ranked offense successfully breaking through Arkansas's 55th-ranked defense. Elite offensive efficiency (top 10) generally trumps good defense, especially when the defensive team is playing on the road.
Scenario 1: Arkansas Offense (6th) vs. Kentucky Defense (31st)
Based on the 2025-26 KenPom rankings as of late January, Arkansas holding home-court advantage while boasting a top-10 offense (6th) makes it more likely for the Arkansas offense to succeed against the Kentucky defense (31st), rather than Kentucky’s offense (50th) overcoming the Arkansas defense (55th). Elite offenses generally prevail over top-30 defenses, especially in hostile environments.
Scenario 1: Arkansas Offense vs. Kentucky Defense
More likely to happen at Arkansas?
31st ranked defense(UK) stops 6th ranked Arkansas offense?
55th ranked defense(Ark) stops 50th ranked Kentucky offense?
Based on top-tier offensive efficiency, Arkansas stopping Kentucky's offense (Scenario 2) is generally more likely. While UK's defense (31st) is good, elite offenses (Ark, 6th) usually prevail at home, making Arkansas a strong favorite to hold Kentucky (50th offense) under their average scoring rate, leading to a projected Arkansas 78 - Kentucky 71 result.
Scenario 1: 31st Def (UK) stops 6th Off (Ark)
- Likelihood: Less likely, given the home-court advantage for a top-10 offense.
- Projected Score: Arkansas 74 - Kentucky 72. (Kentucky plays them tight but Arkansas squeaks it out).
- Likelihood: More likely, as Arkansas's high-powered offense often dictates tempo, forcing Kentucky to play faster than their 50th-ranked offense prefers on the road, creating a wider margin.
- Projected Score: Arkansas 78 - Kentucky 71.
Based on the provided 2025-2026 KenPom ratings, it is more likely that Arkansas's 6th-ranked offense will overcome Kentucky's 31st-ranked defense at home, rather than Kentucky's 50th-ranked offense successfully breaking through Arkansas's 55th-ranked defense. Elite offensive efficiency (top 10) generally trumps good defense, especially when the defensive team is playing on the road.
Scenario 1: Arkansas Offense (6th) vs. Kentucky Defense (31st)
- Likelihood: High
- Reasoning: Elite offenses often dictate the pace and efficiency at home, even against top-35 defenses.
- Predicted Score: Arkansas 78, Kentucky 70
- Likelihood: Moderate
- Reasoning: This is a more balanced matchup, but Arkansas's home-court advantage likely mitigates the similar efficiency rankings.
- Predicted Score: Arkansas 72, Kentucky 68
Based on the 2025-26 KenPom rankings as of late January, Arkansas holding home-court advantage while boasting a top-10 offense (6th) makes it more likely for the Arkansas offense to succeed against the Kentucky defense (31st), rather than Kentucky’s offense (50th) overcoming the Arkansas defense (55th). Elite offenses generally prevail over top-30 defenses, especially in hostile environments.
Scenario 1: Arkansas Offense vs. Kentucky Defense
- Likelihood: Higher.
- Reasoning: Arkansas’ 6th-ranked offense is elite and playing at home. While Kentucky’s 31st-ranked defense is strong, it is less likely to fully neutralize a top-10 offense on the road.
- Predicted Score: Arkansas 81, Kentucky 74
- Likelihood: Lower.
- Reasoning: Arkansas’ 55th-ranked defense is solid and, combined with home-court advantage, likely sufficient to hold down Kentucky’s 50th-ranked offense.
- Predicted Score: Arkansas 75, Kentucky 68
Cal won't beat us too bad because he doesn't want Pope to get fired. He knows Pope is a mediocre coach and can beat us most years while Pope is here. Plus the longer Pope is here and keeps sucking, it makes Cal look better to UK fans. He's eating that up.
Gillespie was the dominant player for Tennessee. We found a way to manage him after he got a couple fouls and that lasted throughout the rest of the game. He’s sort of the engine that makes UT go.
To me, it’s kinda of a similar situation. Worry about Acuff and make the others beat you. That seems to me the best way to have a good chance.
To me, it’s kinda of a similar situation. Worry about Acuff and make the others beat you. That seems to me the best way to have a good chance.
Hogs by 17.
Pope will be biting his lip and looking at the scoreboard a lot Saturday.
Pope will be biting his lip and looking at the scoreboard a lot Saturday.
I know our team currently has his issues, BUT I just can’t figure out why people seem to think that the Hogs are some kind of unbeatable juggernaut. Sure they have a good PG, then what else?
If you put our played conference games and scores side by side, blind to who the teams are, there is only one discrepancy. Somehow, they beat a good Vandy team handily and we got smoked by that Vandy team. Outside of that, what?
Mostly, I think it boils down to the Cal ex-UK thing. If we can manage that, it should be a good game.
If you put our played conference games and scores side by side, blind to who the teams are, there is only one discrepancy. Somehow, they beat a good Vandy team handily and we got smoked by that Vandy team. Outside of that, what?
Mostly, I think it boils down to the Cal ex-UK thing. If we can manage that, it should be a good game.
mainly its because we struggle against teams with any sort of firepower or talent, and arkansas is the most talented team we will play this season
We don’t match up well with anyone who has adequate guards. They don’t have to be great.