Recent content by mission_cat

  1. M

    OT: Lindsay Vonn crashes, knee likely permanently wrecked

    Speaking from experience, sadly, I would assume this is a complex tibial plateau fracture, which is a severe knee (joint) injury. Extremely common traumatic ski injury, and I think Vonn has had several before this, hence the partial knee replacement at 40 years old.
  2. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    I think the context for the author's fixation is that people continue to use it instead of more relevant metrics. Rebounding margin is too ambiguous of a metric to call it a determinant of which team scores more points. The entire point is that it can just as easily be viewed as a consequence...
  3. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    Just to clarify: both teams get the same number of possessions in a game. The only caveat to that is that obviously one team could get 1 more possession than its opponent if it got the first and last possession, but the differential cannot exceed 1. This is just the nature of the game, and...
  4. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    Turnovers are the number of turnovers the team commits, whereas steals are the number of steals the team gets. No correlation whatsoever is implied - teams can commit loads of steals and commit loads of turnovers (i.e. NUWBB teams of late), or whatever combination you could imagine. I think...
  5. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    Why would steals and turnovers be reducible to just steals? Is there something inherent about steals that it should correlate to turnovers ? Re: rebounding margin, it's intuitive that it's predictive, but it's an obvious result. A high rebounding margin is pretty much always the result of your...
  6. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    Fair enough, I shouldn't have been so blunt, since I do consider this an interesting topic, but the model as it currently stands is just statistical noise. Here are some more constructive thoughts: 1) r-squared being near 1 is absolutely a red flag for overfitting for a model with 14...
  7. M

    2020-2021 - Correlations and win model

    Not to be that guy, but this model is nonsense. Not only is OLS a weird choice for this data, but it's clear you're going to have massive overfitting issues when you have 14 observations and 7 covariates. In fact, the ridiculously high r-squared is a red flag that overfitting is happening.
  8. M

    J.J. STARLING. 2022 guard

    I don't think "I can just leave if they suck" is quite the argument you think it is. That's just now how people, especially elite basketball recruits, think.
  9. M

    J.J. STARLING. 2022 guard

    If you're arguing for why people would transfer to Northwestern, I agree. I guess the way this was framed (in a thread about Starling committing, no less), the argument seemed to be that the transfer portal would make Northwestern more attractive to high school commits, which still seems like a...
  10. M

    J.J. STARLING. 2022 guard

    I think it's a bit of a reach to suggest the transfer portal offers a significant advantage to NU. Also, does Sterling see himself as a potential one-and-done? If so, the transfer rules obviously wouldn't mean anything.
  11. M

    OT-Recovering from Covid-19

    Absolutely incredible. You chose to not get vaccinated. You chose to ignore the overwhelming scientific consensus that this was a safe, cheap, and effective way of preventing severe illness from COVID. After choosing to not get the vaccine, you were hospitalized with COVID. You have no grasp of...
  12. M

    OT-Recovering from Covid-19

    If you want to understand them, start from the assumption that you owe nothing to your fellow man and work backwards. The entire conversation is in bad faith. Notice how it shifts from "why should I need to get vaccinated? it's my choice!" to the xenophobic and completely false claim that it's...
  13. M

    OT-Recovering from Covid-19

    Brain damage is a rare but serious side effect of COVID and I'd suggest you get some scans done ASAP.
  14. M

    OT-Recovering from Covid-19

    The entire issue is that their choice impacts all of us. Those who can and refuse to get vaccinated (like Turk) are imposing massive costs on the rest of society in form of: (1) evolving newer and more vaccine-resistant variants, (2) costing tax-payers through insanely expensive hospital stays...
  15. M

    Vic Law

    Agreed, it would really mean a lot. He was interviewed after the game, and you could sense his emotion and that he understands this may be his last shot. I just hope his ankle is healthy so he can do this right. If so, the Lakers are definitely not a bad situation to be in. For one, they are...
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