I completely understand what he is saying. You just don't seem to understand that Hurleys are a 1% chance of happening, Pope isn't the next Hurley dude.
There aren't many Hurleys, 99% actually don't fit your narrative. It's like saying Look at all the people who stopped playing the lottery, and the one guy who didn't won last week.
What is this weird obsession that Pope is destined to win at the level Hurley is? There is absolutely zero evidence that is going to happen. Saying "well it happened to Hurley" is just silly.