Watched some of the Army-Tulane game today. Army is down 21 late in the 4th. They score with 3 minutes left. Go for 2, miss it. They score again 20 seconds later to pull within 15. Go for 2, miss it. Lose by 9. Announcers point out several times how it makes sense to go for 2 down 15...
To make sense of the first one you have to agree with Fitz’s theory that our odds of winning were better by settling things in regulation than in overtime. If you disagree with that notion there’s no sense debating this further; you kick the PAT’s.
To make sense of the second one think about...