Overpaying is a part of sports today..Its like in the nfl when you have a decent to good qb. You gonna either have to spend big to keep him and hope it works or risk letting him go somewhere else (Matt Stafford Andy Dalton Ryan Tannehill). To answer your question, i would think he needs to win...
Everyone know years 1 and 2 of a true rebuild isnt all about wins. They are more of a bonus..2013-2016 we were 9-39 3-30 B1G so 13-12 (9-9) is a big improvement. You think whoever Louisville brings in gonna have yall finish 2nd by yr 2?