Who is the real does it matter? You just have to play the games as scheduled. Texas lost to Oklahoma, who would have thought? If you are the high rank teams, almost everyone will target you. Upsets will happen and it is very hard to go undefeated.
One of the team might have to play the other 2 teams regardless of the seeding. Montini and Rochester have won the state championships in the last 5 years. Morris has good teams but I do not think it has won it all in the last 3-4 years.
Beating teams by the largest amount point spread is incorrect. Loyola, possible others, played the 2nd unit when it was in controlled of the game. Head to head match up is the best indicator-teams want to beat other teams, especially the higher rank.
ESL should be #1, however LA is firm #2 and if it beats the remaining 3 teams on its schedule, then it should be No.1 going into the playoff. LA could have beat the spread against BR if were not for the 2 missed FGs (part of the game) by the back up kicker.