Agree with some of this - I 100% did not want troops on the ground and I said for months we should just pack up and leave the Middle East to whoever else is dumb enough to try to fix that sh*tshow. I’m glad we left for sure.
Where I think you view this through MAGA colored glasses is in how you interpret the strait issue. Literally every talking head said at the outset Iran would impact the flow of oil by virtue of their capabilities in the strait of Hormuz. I have seen a large number of former US military talking heads discuss that the military had for many years had plans, but that it would have to involve ground troops if you wanted to secure it. They discussed the many fortified caves, etc where Iran stashed small boats, missiles, etc. There were numerous articles about how difficult it would be to remove those capabilities with air and sea power alone.
So I see it less as a miscalculation and more of an awful strategic blunder born from Trump’s inability to listen to others. Trump went with his dumb gut vs the smart people advising him. If he had no intention of using ground troops then he should not have done something that would require ground troops to pull off. That is one of the massive strategic errors Trump made here. Calling it a simple miscalculation is like forgiving a college math professor who says 1+1=5. If you are president you should not make strategic errors this large.
Fair criticism and thanks for the honest reply.
I’ll just say that without risk, comes no reward. Trump and Israel saw that 40 top leaders were gathered together and they thought that opportunity outweighed the risk of the Strait. I won’t say he was right or wrong, but framing it as 1+1=5 is not a fair analysis either. Of course we aren’t privy to all the details, so no one really knows what he was advised on.
No risk no reward. Sometimes it backfires, and I’ll accept the argument that this wasn’t perfect. Trump went with his gut and was wrong? Fair.
But one must acknowledge that his gut has served him extremely well over the last 10 years. Venezuela, his gut was 100% correct in hindsight. He won election twice, he is not dumb or stupid like Kamala, as many would like to say.
I’m glad his gut read the room and can see we don’t want boots on the ground. His response since the initial strikes have been measured in my opinion.
I agree it may be more than simple
Miscommunication, but it far from the “Massive strategic errors” you describe. We won the war. They won’t be getting a bomb. Oil touched $72 this week. The leader who kept calling for “death to America” is with 72 virgins right now. If that is the result of a masssive strategic error, I’m ok with it. The United States has room for errors, thanks to our Military might.
I give Trump a C+ on the Iran war and I think k people will be more concerned with their wallets come mid terms, than some supposed “massive strategic errors” that didn’t harm us at all.