Game 59 - UNC vs ECU - NCAAT
- Thread starter TommyAshley
- Start date
Run expectancy R23 1 out is notably lower than R12 0 out and that’s not even factoring in a .950 OPS bat at the plate
Took the lead and got deeper into an already thin bullpen. It’s a W inning
Avent goes out cussing ump. Scenes.
#1 overall seed about to be eliminated?? We’ll see if they have more 9th inning magic. Heels need at least 3 more runs imo.
It’s higher with runners on 1st and 2nd, 0 outs.
In general, you increase your chance to score 1 run but decrease your run expectancy by severely lowering the chance of a big inning.
in the MLB, 1st and 2nd no outs gives you an average expected runs of 1.55, and 2nd and 3rd with 1 out gives you 1.41: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-run-expectancy-matrix-reloaded-for-the-2020s/
Cooper playing golf on that at bat. I still have faith he will have a big at bat before this is over,
Even if the expected runs is higher if you don’t bunt, I bet the probability of scoring at least one run is higher if you bunt.
I’d be curious to see that too though.
Caden is a fantastic double play pitcher, very weak contact (on a 96 mph heater) and is similar to Ryan in terms of groundball rates, those 2-seamers will do that
This kid is just so good. Got a feeling Fridays next year are gonna look like Knapp is back
Never noticed, but Glauber really does pitch like a righty Chris Sale, like the guy said.
Not if we get a big lead. Game script could make a difference as to whether he comes in.
Behind the Tar Heel dugout, a wild @JoeyPowell pleads for a review after Hynek is hit with one out in the sixth
Very true, but I’m not sure we’re going to get a big lead. I soooo hope I’m wrong though. One run won’t win this game I don’t think.