Basically the same thing for someone trying to catch an upside move.
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
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Wait about 15 mins. Everything changes with this conflict all the time.
Markets don’t know what the F is actually going on so hard to trade on that basis unless of course you are an insider
I think/hope the markets have given up a bit on reacting to every tweet. Or someone at Citadel anf Bridgewater turned off those damn macro-based algorithms. LOL!
Hmm, like the idea (UBER building its own autonomous fleet), but not with Lucid. Lucid is just a poorly run company that always disappoints.
I don’t know big business works, but does uber have some say in how lucid is run?
Without looking im thinking Lucid is actually pretty cheap on a price to sales.
UNH finally turning the corner?
www.cnbc.com
UnitedHealth tops quarterly estimates, hikes profit outlook as insurer manages high medical costs
The nation's largest private insurer expects 2026 adjusted earnings of more than $18.25 per share, up from a previous outlook of greater than $17.75 per share.
www.cnbc.com
I assume yes. That's a large stake and voting rights (and Lucid leadership probably wants more money from UBER eventually).
ALAB has done very well since my purchase. It is time to sell some upside calls into this run up.
They didn’t get a board seat at Lucid but they did at Nuro, Lucid’s autonomy partner. If they put it all together, they’ll be a worse Waymo in a few years.
I guess renewed good news from Iran. Asia is really impacted by the conflict and straight issues. Same with Japan. It rocketed upward on the first ceasefire announcement.
Pomp doing his pump on CNBC…doesn’t this BTC prediction nonsense ever get old? Now it’s “if it doesn’t go to zero it’s going to $1M at some point”. Only thing that’s possibly gonna drive it back to $100K is when Trump gets bored with the Middle East.
I'm happy with Warsh's testimony so far. Tom Lee's alert from this morning:
On Tuesday, the Senate confirmation hearings for Kevin Warsh took place. Below are our takeaways:
On Tuesday, the Senate confirmation hearings for Kevin Warsh took place. Below are our takeaways:
- The hearings were 2.5 hours, and there were a lot of testy exchanges. Here are our 4 takeaways:
– Independence: Warsh said no commitment to cut
– Forward guidance: Forward guidance constrains Fed
– Inflation: Stems from Gov’t spend and loose CB
– Inflation measurement: Not in favor of Core PCE, but new datasets - Regarding forward guidance, Mr. Warsh stated:
“Part of the reason the 2021–22 mistake was compounded is the Fed gives forward guidance — it tells the world what its dots will be, what its forecasts will be. Then the Fed, being human, holds onto those forecasts longer than it should. If the Fed were to wait until it gets into a meeting before making a decision, that incremental deliberation can keep the central bank from compounding its errors.” - Regarding the drivers of inflation, Mr. Warsh stated:
“I don’t think inflation comes about when the economy grows too much or Americans get wage increases.”“Inflation comes about when the government prints too much — meaning the central bank — and, broadly, the government spends too much.” - Regarding measuring inflation, Mr. Warsh stated:
“The data used to judge inflation is imperfect…We used to use core PCE — excluding food and energy — as a rough swag. We don’t have to anymore. What I’m interested in is the underlying inflation rate, not one-time changes in geopolitics or beef prices. My broad sense is inflation risks have improved somewhat in the last year.” - This statement about geopolitical suggests Warsh would look at tariff-related and oil-shock inflation differently than the current Fed. But as we know, inflation expectations need to be contained as well. So we would be curious to see how he measures inflation expectations. And as many are aware, we do not view U Mich inflation surveys as reliable.
- He continued regarding measuring inflation:
“The measures I prefer are trimmed averages, where we strip out tail risks and one-off items. Trend is quite favorable. One of the first reforms I’d hope to undertake as Chair is a data project — evaluating with the Bureau of Labor Statistics a survey of a billion prices. What I’m most interested in is the change in the 500-millionth-and-one price, because that’s inflation.” - Taken in total, this would suggest we have a Fed that would operate very differently under Warsh vs Powell. In many ways, we would welcome a move away from forward guidance. After all, this leads to a lot of Fed speak and too many voices around monetary policy.
UNH looks like it broke it's downtrend. As long as it holds the earnings gap up. Lots of good breakout candidates right now!
BTC pushing $80K.
Josh Brown keeps saying no one cares anymore, but it's done well to get off those lows.
Still has work to do to make that chart actually look good. Watch for a head and shoulders formation around $100K.
Josh Brown keeps saying no one cares anymore, but it's done well to get off those lows.
Still has work to do to make that chart actually look good. Watch for a head and shoulders formation around $100K.
Recent bottom almost exactly lines up with Jane Street lawsuit.
Bought a little tiny bit of XNDU.
The only pure play photonic something something quantum computing company.
Just came public via SPAC. Supposedly they have a positive EPS in the TTM, though I don't put much weight into that.
$1B market cap, though with PIPE, has something like a $12B valuation.
The only pure play photonic something something quantum computing company.
Just came public via SPAC. Supposedly they have a positive EPS in the TTM, though I don't put much weight into that.
$1B market cap, though with PIPE, has something like a $12B valuation.
As I tend to be skeptical of this stuff, I'm not sure if I buy this or not.
Why would Jane Street do this at 10AM every day?
Are they trying to be as obvious as possible?
RIVN's chart continues to look good (and very tradeable, though I have not).
Don't think it will break out past $20 in the near term, but that is a hurdle to look out for.
Just started production of their R2, just as GM announces they are cutting back on their EV pickup plans.
Don't think it will break out past $20 in the near term, but that is a hurdle to look out for.
Just started production of their R2, just as GM announces they are cutting back on their EV pickup plans.
Market manipulation is their specialty. They stand to make far more than any fine they incur. They very likely ran a similar playbook on $slv this year.
Why Is Silver Falling? Jane Street's $1.3B SLV Bet Sparks Manipulation Debate
The firm accused of crashing Bitcoin daily and front-running the $40 billion Terra collapse is also the largest holder of the world's biggest silver ETF.
coinpedia.org